Score breakdown — click a row for explanation
Person importance
+3 / 25
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No significant committee role found, or no member data available.
Committee–sector alignment
0 / 20
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No committee–sector match found for sector: Information Technology.
Amount significance
+1 / 20
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Disclosed range: $1,001 – $15,000 (estimated: ~$8,001). Larger bets signal higher conviction.
Price not yet priced in
+10 / 15
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Stock rose 4.0% between transaction and disclosure. Some movement, but trade still had actionable value.
3–4 other members traded MSFT in the same direction within 30 days.
Standard stock — direct equity exposure, clean signal.
Excellent track record — historically beats SPY by more than 10% on average.
Sector Information Technology historically outperforms in congressional trade data — tech insiders often act on regulatory and contract signals ahead of the market.
John Fetterman has bought MSFT before, but not excessively (1–5 prior purchases).
John Fetterman files trades late on average (159.4 days). By the time their trades appear, they are less actionable.
Penalty: stale disclosure
-5
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Disclosed 4 days after the transaction. The longer the delay, the less actionable the signal.
Penalty: small amount
-5
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Disclosed amount starts at $1,001. Small positions are often routine rebalancing and carry a weaker conviction signal.
Total score
24/100
