Score breakdown — click a row for explanation
Person importance
+12 / 25
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Ranking member or member of a high-power committee.
Committee–sector alignment
0 / 20
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No committee–sector match found for sector: Information Technology.
Amount significance
+1 / 20
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Disclosed range: $1,001 – $15,000 (estimated: ~$8,001). Larger bets signal higher conviction.
Price not yet priced in
+5 / 15
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Stock fell 7.1% between transaction and disclosure. Market partially anticipated the move.
1–2 other members traded MSFT in the same direction within 30 days.
Standard stock — direct equity exposure, clean signal.
No track record data, or this member has historically underperformed SPY (−5).
Sector Information Technology historically outperforms in congressional trade data — tech insiders often act on regulatory and contract signals ahead of the market.
First buy signal
-3 / 5
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Gilbert Cisneros has purchased MSFT more than 5 times before — likely routine rebalancing rather than a new insight.
Penalty: stale disclosure
-5
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Disclosed 33 days after the transaction. The longer the delay, the less actionable the signal.
Penalty: small amount
-5
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Disclosed amount starts at $1,001. Small positions are often routine rebalancing and carry a weaker conviction signal.
Total score
8/100
