Score breakdown — click a row for explanation
Person importance
+12 / 25
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Ranking member or member of a high-power committee.
Committee–sector alignment
+6 / 20
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Sits on a committee with indirect connection to Information Technology.
Amount significance
+1 / 20
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Disclosed range: $1,001 – $15,000 (estimated: ~$8,001). Larger bets signal higher conviction.
Price not yet priced in
0 / 15
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Stock rose 27.0% between transaction and disclosure — market had likely already priced in the insider edge.
1–2 other members traded MSFT in the same direction within 30 days.
Standard stock — direct equity exposure, clean signal.
No track record data, or this member has historically underperformed SPY (−5).
Sector Information Technology historically outperforms in congressional trade data — tech insiders often act on regulatory and contract signals ahead of the market.
First buy signal
+5 / 5
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First time Michael Rulli has purchased MSFT. New positions signal fresh conviction, not routine portfolio maintenance.
Michael Rulli files trades late on average (252.5 days). By the time their trades appear, they are less actionable.
Penalty: stale disclosure
-15
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Disclosed 183 days after the transaction — well beyond the 30-day STOCK Act limit. Very stale information.
Penalty: small amount
-5
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Disclosed amount starts at $1,001. Small positions are often routine rebalancing and carry a weaker conviction signal.
Total score
7/100
